Market Update: Tariff ‘stick’ to be followed by ‘fiscal’ carrot?
As most of us are aware, markets have recently been taking one step forward, one step back and this week was no different. Equity markets started with a bit of positivity amid talk that Trump’s April 2nd tariff “Liberation Day” was going to be calibrated and phased. Trump’s unexpected announcement on Thursday of permanent 25% tariffs on autos together with threats of further tariffs should trading partners counter them with retaliatory measures, was directly at odds with the markets’ latest expectations, and so down things came.
Market Update: Bracing for tariff “Liberation Day”
Capital markets were calmer for most of the week, with a little turbulence into the end. Up until Thursday close, stock prices moved higher and measures of intraday volatility fell somewhat, largely thanks to fewer signs of policy upheaval from the US government. The week’s biggest policy event – a meeting of the US Federal Reserve – gave little information that we did not already know or expect. American investors took this as a decent sign and, for the first time in a few weeks, the US was one of the better performers.
March Team News 2025
Hello and a very warm welcome to the Vizion Wealth Team News. We are just about surviving the run up to the tax year end, it is always a very busy time for us and a great opportunity to check in with you all to see if you need any tax year end assistance.
Time is Running Out: Don’t Miss Your Chance to Boost Your State Pension
It’s important to take the time to give your finances a year-end check-up. The 2017/18 tax year ends on 5 April 2018, with the new tax year beginning the following day, on 6 April. These are important dates for financial planning, so it’s important you don’t miss the chance to make the most of valuable tax-efficiencies and allowances.
Market Update: The return of regional divergence
Once again, the aggregate picture hides a great deal of variation. US stocks have had another down week, while European stocks – mainly defence companies – have performed well, alongside Chinese shares. The background to this was an historic increase in European defence spending, sharply higher bond yields, and continued political volatility from the Trump administration. We are in a period of deep uncertainty – where the market outlook can turn rapidly. In this environment, holding diversified investments is proving crucial once again.
Market Update: Global politics turn business
We start the week on a slightly downbeat note, not borne out of the astounding shifts in US foreign policy, but because US domestic service sector sentiment seems to have sagged. The US 10-year bond yield has dropped back to below 4.5% after a midweek push to 4.6%...
Market Update: Europe First?
Another dramatic week in global politics had rare and fascinating effects on capital markets. The Trump administration’s apparent plan to negotiate a Ukraine peace deal without European input, but leave European nations to foot the bill and bear the political consequences, is considered a nightmare scenario by many politicians on the continent. And yet, European stocks rallied while the US faltered. For the first time in a while, global investors seem more positive about equities outside the world’s largest economy – including booming Chinese tech stocks – than in it.
Market Update: Up and down and on and off
Last week began with, potentially, a very distasteful pill to swallow. On Friday 31st evening, just before 6pm GMT and after European markets had closed, Trump announced another 10% of tariffs on China and new 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, the US’ closest and single largest trading partners, all to begin on the following Tuesday.
Market Update: AI upset challenges market status quo
It has been another interesting week in markets, although for different reasons than recently. Most of the major regional stock indices have performed well, but global equities are down in aggregate. This is largely down to the underperformance of Nvidia, following the release of a low-cost, more micro-chip efficient AI model from Chinese start-up DeepSeek.
Market Update: Trump trade still on?
Capital markets were a sea of green in Donald Trump’s first week back in office. Investors’ serenity stands in contrast to the rhetoric and early flurry of policy from the US president. We have said before that markets may not to appreciate the risks of a second Trump presidency, but US positivity – at least for the near-term – is undeniably justified by the real economy. Hopefully, some of that positivity can spread to the gloomier corners of the global picture, most notably Europe.
Market Update: Calmer markets ahead of Trump inauguration
With global stocks bouncing back over 2%, last week was the best of the year! UK investors did not even have to rely on a weak pound to bolster Sterling-based returns. French stocks gained over 4%, while smaller cap stocks in most regions have outperformed larger caps – all good signs for broad-based growth.
Autumn Budget 2024 Recap
The Autumn Budget Statement 2024 introduced a range of changes that could significantly impact wealth planning strategies. From pensions and tax adjustments to shifts in the treatment of business and agricultural assets, the statement calls for individuals with substantial wealth to reassess their long-term financial goals. These changes present challenges and opportunities depending on your personal and financial circumstances.
Market Update: Happy New Year!
We start this year with a condensed Market update, sharing with you a few thoughts about some relevant events over the holiday period and the first few days of 2025. Next week, we will be back to the usual extensive format, bringing you a full account of asset class performance for December and for 2024. In the meantime, we show various asset classes (some of which overlap each other) so readers can get an idea of which areas did best and worst.
Market Update: Fed spoils the Christmas Party
Not only did the ‘Santa Rally’ not arrive this year, but global stocks had a notable sell-off on Wednesday night. This came after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) told investors not to expect many interest rate cuts in 2025, a pretty stark change from the giving mood they displayed last Christmas.
Market Update: Don’t fear the rebalance
Capital markets were choppy last week, unsurprisingly. At the end of a very strong year in stock markets, investors typically rebalance their holdings and take profits, so mild selling pressures are to be expected. This absence of a Santa Rally should not be taken as a sign of underlying risk sentiment deterioration. On the contrary, overall risk appetite feels strong – particularly from bullish US investors.
Market Update: Focus turns to Europe
November was a month to remember in terms of news and, for the US especially, one which was positive for economic and market optimism. We cover asset class performance in our usual monthly market review in an article below.
December Team News 2024
Hello and a very warm welcome to the Vizion Wealth Team News, Christmas is now fast approaching and we hope you are all looking forward to the festive period. We hope you have also had time to recover from any shocks in the budget on 30th October.
Market Update: Equities and bonds go separate ways
Although developed market equities were calm in sterling terms, stocks were more turbulent in local currencies. France was notably hit by the fragmenting of its ruling parliamentary “alliance”. Emerging markets were even less happy, partly thanks to Trump. Brazil was the weakest, after President Lula announced softer-than-expected spending cuts, threatening future fiscal stability.
Market Update: More and More Loose Ends
We are getting to that time of year when investment houses like us write their annual market outlooks. That is easier to do if the loose threads wrap themselves up before Christmas, but right now the opposite is happening. Uncertainty is growing, and it is creating a wide range of plausible medium-term scenarios. Some of them are very bullish for markets and the world economy, while others are more worrying.
Market Update: Reading Trump’s Tea Leaves
It was an up and down week for global stocks. Markets initially showed confidence in Donald Trump’s tax cut and deregulation agenda – but pulled back when Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell suggested interest rate cuts might have to be gradual. The S&P 500 was flat for most of the week but tumbled this afternoon amid rising bond yields. This came against a backdrop of strong gains last week, a sharply higher dollar and weak equity markets in most other regions.